PnL (30d)

−$340

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-23.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

9%

23W / 243L · 49 open

Win Return (30d)

12%

38W / 277L

Trades (30d)

315

across 37 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$12.59

avg win $295 · loss $37

Profit Factor

0.63

$590 won / $930 lost

Reward / Risk

7.93

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$61

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	11.6% 84W/642L	97	$5,784
🏛 Politics	27.0% 10W/27L	18	$292
🎬 Culture	27.0% 10W/27L	18	$292

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	230	0.455	$104.65	$70.15	+203.3%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.165	$33.00	$5.00	+17.9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	209	0.155	$32.36	$-1.04	-3.1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	142	0.165	$23.43	$1.33	+6.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	220	0.075	$16.50	$-12.10	-42.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	73	0.165	$12.04	$0.36	+3.1%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	171	0.065	$11.14	$-4.08	-26.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	140	0.055	$7.70	$-0.30	-3.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.019	$3.80	$-9.20	-70.8%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.018	$3.70	$-6.30	-63.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	20	0.080	$1.59	$0.95	+148.4%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	328	0.004	$1.47	$-37.68	-96.2%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.004	$0.70	$-1.90	-73.1%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.002	$0.30	$-11.75	-97.5%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.002	$0.30	$-1.70	-85.0%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-0.10	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-2.40	-96.0%