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Trader leaderboard/argus-br

argus-br

0x67533b88868315248a18b3d54359f217bafdb37d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
10W / 0L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
13
across 5 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $61,981

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 90.4% 170W/18L 129 $4,813
🌤 Weather 78.9% 15W/4L 9 $397
🏛 Politics 2 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No 33 0.775 $25.75 $3.75 +17.1%
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No 19 0.924 $17.34 $1.34 +8.4%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No 19 0.885 $16.60 $1.60 +10.7%
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? No 12 0.895 $11.17 $0.17 +1.5%
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? Yes 8 0.940 $7.82 $0.82 +11.8%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 6 0.885 $5.53 $0.53 +10.6%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 6 0.865 $5.47 $0.47 +9.5%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 6 0.945 $5.43 $0.43 +8.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 5 0.976 $5.36 $0.36 +7.2%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 6 0.460 $2.54 $0.54 +26.9%
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No 3 0.855 $2.19 $0.19 +9.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 8 0.184 $1.54 $-0.46 -22.8%
Canada's population Up or Down this year? Up 6 0.205 $1.28 $-3.72 -74.4%