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Trader

0x6741cb7327e9be04458f3bd31c652c9dc6532b47
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
22%
2W / 7L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
7W / 8L
Trades (30d)
15
across 11 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.06
avg win $4 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.11
$4 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
6.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $517 · all-time $24,787

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.1% 30W/38L 60 $1,518
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/5L 7 $169
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $133
⚽ Sports 60.0% 3W/2L 5 $135
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $81

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 51 0.685 $34.98 $-3.51 -9.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 27 0.955 $25.76 $5.52 +27.3%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? No 24 0.955 $23.22 $4.26 +22.4%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? No 25 0.895 $22.80 $3.95 +20.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 24 0.964 $22.75 $4.34 +23.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 27 0.835 $22.54 $2.29 +11.3%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 29 0.750 $21.53 $0.36 +1.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 23 0.895 $20.85 $2.45 +13.3%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 25 0.815 $20.76 $1.91 +10.1%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 21 0.945 $20.07 $3.50 +21.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 28 0.655 $18.54 $-2.41 -11.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 25 0.678 $16.62 $-1.72 -9.4%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? No 23 0.715 $16.59 $-1.04 -5.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 23 0.705 $16.42 $-1.98 -10.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 10 0.925 $9.25 $1.95 +26.7%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? No 9 0.964 $8.38 $1.68 +25.1%