shmeba
0x6725d56690fbe9ba9f301997cef4b503f1cd1bf9
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,042
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$51
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+40.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
33W / 22L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
36W / 25L
Trades (30d)
61
across 21 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$61.30
avg win $259 · loss $77
Profit Factor
2.36
$1,811 won / $769 lost
Reward / Risk
3.37
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$108
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,160 · all-time $418,147
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
778 |
0.300 |
$233.27 |
$-163.73 |
-41.2% |
| Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner |
1win |
118 |
0.650 |
$76.43 |
$-0.57 |
-0.7% |
| Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by July 31? |
Yes |
103 |
0.019 |
$1.96 |
$0.93 |
+90.9% |
| Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner |
1win |
133 |
0.001 |
$0.07 |
$-47.93 |
-99.9% |
| Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner |
Rune Eaters |
101 |
0.001 |
$0.05 |
$-29.95 |
-99.8% |