| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
25,000 |
0.540 |
$13,512.67 |
$1,012.51 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
25,000 |
0.460 |
$11,487.50 |
$-1,012.50 |
-8.1% |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
801 |
0.994 |
$796.10 |
$91.30 |
+13.0% |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
574 |
0.995 |
$571.19 |
$0.80 |
+0.1% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
277 |
0.920 |
$254.99 |
$-12.52 |
-4.7% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
278 |
0.905 |
$251.15 |
$94.16 |
+60.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? |
No |
180 |
0.985 |
$177.31 |
$-0.98 |
-0.5% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.999 |
$149.78 |
$5.48 |
+3.8% |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.996 |
$149.32 |
$23.27 |
+18.5% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.925 |
$138.77 |
$8.25 |
+6.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
152 |
0.875 |
$133.38 |
$49.41 |
+58.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
152 |
0.800 |
$121.90 |
$-9.49 |
-7.2% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? |
No |
122 |
0.994 |
$121.27 |
$4.27 |
+3.6% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
154 |
0.770 |
$118.20 |
$13.35 |
+12.7% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
153 |
0.731 |
$111.52 |
$-26.94 |
-19.5% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? |
No |
122 |
0.845 |
$103.09 |
$86.01 |
+503.6% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? |
No |
144 |
0.645 |
$92.88 |
$15.42 |
+19.9% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? |
No |
122 |
0.745 |
$90.89 |
$-28.59 |
-23.9% |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
90 |
0.998 |
$89.79 |
$0.04 |
+0.1% |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
90 |
0.998 |
$89.79 |
$0.77 |
+0.9% |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
90 |
0.998 |
$89.78 |
$4.27 |
+5.0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
90 |
0.997 |
$89.70 |
$0.04 |
+0.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? |
No |
90 |
0.975 |
$87.78 |
$0.02 |
+0.0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
90 |
0.951 |
$85.56 |
$-1.04 |
-1.2% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,138 |
0.075 |
$85.33 |
$72.55 |
+567.6% |