| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
87 |
0.996 |
$86.87 |
$18.46 |
+27.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
83 |
0.675 |
$56.25 |
$1.08 |
+2.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
81 |
0.665 |
$53.65 |
$-1.06 |
-1.9% |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? |
No |
66 |
0.795 |
$52.17 |
$22.14 |
+73.7% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? |
Yes |
82 |
0.565 |
$46.24 |
$31.21 |
+207.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
46 |
0.895 |
$41.01 |
$17.48 |
+74.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
89 |
0.456 |
$40.36 |
$7.33 |
+22.2% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
63 |
0.625 |
$39.36 |
$1.33 |
+3.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
55 |
0.695 |
$38.47 |
$7.10 |
+22.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
68 |
0.485 |
$33.07 |
$3.07 |
+10.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.915 |
$31.92 |
$1.92 |
+6.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.925 |
$31.24 |
$2.43 |
+8.4% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
48 |
0.580 |
$28.12 |
$1.46 |
+5.5% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
75 |
0.365 |
$27.39 |
$-2.61 |
-8.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
77 |
0.356 |
$27.37 |
$-2.63 |
-8.8% |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? |
No |
25 |
0.925 |
$23.44 |
$1.95 |
+9.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? |
Yes |
31 |
0.700 |
$21.61 |
$0.53 |
+2.5% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? |
No |
21 |
0.999 |
$21.20 |
$3.22 |
+17.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
41 |
0.485 |
$19.96 |
$1.95 |
+10.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
119 |
0.165 |
$19.68 |
$3.60 |
+22.4% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? |
Yes |
22 |
0.875 |
$19.30 |
$4.30 |
+28.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
31 |
0.600 |
$18.74 |
$7.81 |
+71.4% |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
133 |
0.138 |
$18.40 |
$-1.60 |
-8.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
19 |
0.925 |
$17.28 |
$1.28 |
+8.0% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
17 |
0.951 |
$16.34 |
$4.66 |
+39.9% |