LieutenantMiloMinderbinder
0x66d609dbda9df641eff684190a01182f6de450c7
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$271
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
92%
315W / 27L
Trades (30d)
342
across 15 markets · ~23 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9 · all-time $1,157,254
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
9,800 |
0.875 |
$8,575.00 |
$3,675.00 |
+75.0% |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
7,530 |
0.645 |
$4,856.79 |
$1,081.79 |
+28.7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
9,800 |
0.125 |
$1,225.00 |
$-3,675.00 |
-75.0% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
No |
401 |
0.875 |
$351.06 |
$14.04 |
+4.2% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
1,606 |
0.150 |
$240.95 |
$8.56 |
+3.7% |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Yes |
586 |
0.001 |
$0.29 |
$-1.82 |
-86.1% |