PnL (30d)

−$3

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$20

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

105W / 96L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

51%

105W / 99L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

207

across 73 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.05

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.86

$20 won / $24 lost

Reward / Risk

1.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.2% 105W/96L	73	$655
🌤 Weather	56.2% 59W/46L	37	$237
🏛 Politics	—	2	$105

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 5?	No	5	0.775	$3.88	$1.38	+55.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.225	$1.12	$-1.38	-55.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.001	$0.01	$-2.50	-99.8%