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Trader leaderboard/Marioy

Marioy

0x66ad4221d66358ab9867f6d8cae73ede08e5cc4e
PnL (30d)
+$3,991
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,566
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
217W / 18L · 61 open
Win Return (30d)
90%
265W / 31L
Trades (30d)
296
across 37 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$142.54
avg win $267 · loss $896
Profit Factor
2.49
$6,678 won / $2,687 lost
Reward / Risk
0.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,587
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45,612 · all-time $3,697,732

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 92.3% 217W/18L 37 $163,152
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/15L 4 $25,424

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 29,171 0.755 $22,024.31 $4,875.83 +28.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 30,000 0.635 $19,049.94 $6,050.08 +46.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 22,536 0.845 $19,042.55 $3,087.26 +19.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 13,560 0.805 $10,915.90 $-1,062.19 -8.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 10,016 0.750 $7,512.10 $50.99 +0.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? No 6,973 0.785 $5,473.83 $64.66 +1.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? Yes 4,996 0.992 $4,953.32 $307.24 +6.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 10,000 0.455 $4,550.00 $1,650.00 +56.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 6,247 0.670 $4,185.63 $1,086.99 +35.1%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 4,267 0.715 $3,051.18 $490.75 +19.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes 5,000 0.600 $2,999.99 $1,250.00 +71.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 5,000 0.505 $2,525.00 $1,225.00 +94.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? No 4,000 0.575 $2,299.99 $-29.99 -1.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes 5,000 0.405 $2,025.00 $975.00 +92.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? Yes 2,000 0.991 $1,981.99 $378.50 +23.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? Yes 2,000 0.964 $1,928.00 $388.00 +25.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7? Yes 2,000 0.925 $1,850.00 $30.00 +1.6%