PnL (30d)

−$256

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 10L · 49 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

34W / 25L

Trades (30d)

59

across 15 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$63.90

· loss $64

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $256 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/10L	15	$4,388
🏛 Politics	—	2	$249

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	900	0.964	$867.15	$72.04	+9.1%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	700	0.915	$640.50	$14.00	+2.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,118	0.545	$609.14	$-71.93	-10.6%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	700	0.865	$605.50	$29.50	+5.1%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	454	0.953	$432.76	$31.48	+7.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	300	0.942	$282.45	$9.45	+3.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	700	0.360	$252.00	$-78.00	-23.6%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	400	0.385	$153.92	$30.33	+24.5%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	400	0.325	$130.00	$-37.00	-22.2%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	761	0.145	$110.33	$-185.90	-62.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	698	0.150	$104.70	$-153.70	-59.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,000	0.088	$88.50	$37.50	+73.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	Yes	200	0.425	$84.99	$-10.00	-10.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.075	$75.00	$-25.00	-25.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	300	0.239	$71.85	$-24.15	-25.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	256	0.278	$71.03	$19.84	+38.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	500	0.115	$57.50	$17.50	+43.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	800	0.065	$52.00	$-152.00	-74.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	300	0.155	$46.50	$-13.50	-22.5%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	700	0.062	$43.75	$25.55	+140.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	500	0.085	$42.50	$7.50	+21.4%
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	213	0.155	$32.97	$18.08	+121.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Yes	450	0.051	$23.17	$-25.32	-52.2%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	200	0.046	$9.30	$1.30	+16.2%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	400	0.015	$6.20	$-3.80	-38.0%