| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
16,900 |
0.790 |
$13,359.45 |
$4,909.45 |
+58.1% |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
11,480 |
0.991 |
$11,376.65 |
$541.09 |
+5.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
17,000 |
0.209 |
$3,561.50 |
$-4,938.50 |
-58.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
3,396 |
0.866 |
$2,938.88 |
$-178.05 |
-5.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
2,700 |
0.963 |
$2,598.76 |
$289.61 |
+12.5% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
1,200 |
0.955 |
$1,145.99 |
$132.00 |
+13.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.976 |
$975.50 |
$65.50 |
+7.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.963 |
$770.00 |
$26.46 |
+3.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.971 |
$485.24 |
$30.25 |
+6.6% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
333 |
0.952 |
$316.82 |
$17.15 |
+5.7% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.905 |
$181.00 |
$35.00 |
+24.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.655 |
$131.00 |
$45.00 |
+52.3% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? |
No |
117 |
0.955 |
$111.89 |
$4.96 |
+4.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.405 |
$81.00 |
$-9.00 |
-10.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
400 |
0.117 |
$46.59 |
$-21.59 |
-31.7% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
600 |
0.055 |
$32.99 |
$-66.61 |
-66.9% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.905 |
$22.62 |
$2.37 |
+11.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.155 |
$15.50 |
$-41.50 |
-72.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.065 |
$13.00 |
$-11.00 |
-45.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
959 |
0.013 |
$12.95 |
$-88.84 |
-87.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.013 |
$6.75 |
$-28.32 |
-80.8% |
| Canva IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
85 |
0.045 |
$3.82 |
$-32.67 |
-89.5% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? |
No |
3 |
0.974 |
$2.94 |
$0.05 |
+1.6% |
| Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31? |
Yes |
6 |
0.075 |
$0.45 |
$0.09 |
+25.0% |