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Trader

0x6625c0c3bd0342bca548684c56fa364860894fed
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
1W / 1L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
3
across 3 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.40
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.20
$0 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
0.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $323 · all-time $22,155

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.0% 28W/22L 69 $1,323
₿ Crypto 100.0% 6W/0L 9 $309
🏛 Politics 6 $8
🌤 Weather 50.0% 1W/1L 3 $6
🎬 Culture 3 $3
💵 Economy 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 5? No 40 0.997 $39.88 $-0.04 -0.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of August 3 2026? No 30 0.999 $29.95 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? No 20 1.000 $19.99 $0.07 +0.4%
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by September 30, 2026? No 2 0.975 $1.97 $-0.03 -1.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 3 0.695 $1.76 $-0.24 -12.0%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes 2 0.925 $1.49 $-0.01 -0.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 4 0.380 $1.49 $-0.51 -25.5%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 1 0.973 $1.00 $-0.00 -0.1%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 1 0.938 $1.00 $-0.00 -0.1%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 1 0.953 $1.00 $-0.00 -0.3%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 3 0.145 $0.50 $-0.50 -50.0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 5 0.085 $0.45 $-0.55 -55.3%