| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
1,034 |
0.945 |
$976.83 |
$108.15 |
+12.4% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
576 |
0.920 |
$530.22 |
$63.13 |
+13.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.925 |
$462.50 |
$21.50 |
+4.9% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.889 |
$266.85 |
$36.85 |
+16.0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
No |
254 |
0.865 |
$219.76 |
$-0.73 |
-0.3% |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? |
No |
260 |
0.830 |
$215.80 |
$23.40 |
+12.2% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
958 |
0.200 |
$191.69 |
$-42.31 |
-18.1% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.933 |
$186.70 |
$-1.20 |
-0.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.855 |
$171.00 |
$7.00 |
+4.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
164 |
0.905 |
$148.09 |
$9.09 |
+6.5% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? |
No |
167 |
0.840 |
$140.30 |
$7.90 |
+6.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.920 |
$92.00 |
$3.00 |
+3.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.840 |
$84.00 |
$3.05 |
+3.8% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.825 |
$82.49 |
$-0.50 |
-0.6% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
172 |
0.430 |
$73.95 |
$21.71 |
+41.6% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.715 |
$71.49 |
$-6.50 |
-8.3% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
No |
105 |
0.680 |
$71.40 |
$-5.95 |
-7.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
80 |
0.890 |
$71.20 |
$16.80 |
+30.9% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.825 |
$49.72 |
$9.72 |
+24.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.225 |
$22.50 |
$1.50 |
+7.1% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.890 |
$14.99 |
$0.34 |
+2.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
106 |
0.095 |
$10.05 |
$-29.95 |
-74.9% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
149 |
0.060 |
$8.93 |
$-35.87 |
-80.1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.065 |
$6.50 |
$-26.50 |
-80.3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
Yes |
56 |
0.085 |
$4.72 |
$-15.28 |
-76.4% |