PnL (30d)

+$137

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+156.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

74W / 186L · 45 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

94W / 188L · 23 open

Trades (30d)

305

across 65 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$2.54

avg win $14 · loss $1

Profit Factor

7.26

$159 won / $22 lost

Reward / Risk

28.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.5% 74W/186L	65	$222
🏛 Politics	39.5% 17W/26L	10	$18
🎬 Culture	39.5% 17W/26L	10	$18
💵 Economy	—	1	$0
🤖 Tech	—	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	71	0.085	$6.04	$1.06	+21.4%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	310	0.015	$4.80	$3.87	+416.7%
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	62	0.045	$2.78	$0.93	+50.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	441	0.005	$2.42	$1.40	+135.7%
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	327	0.005	$1.63	$1.31	+400.0%
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	438	0.003	$1.32	$0.63	+93.3%
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	12	0.093	$1.16	$1.13	+4549.7%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	71	0.006	$0.46	$0.25	+116.6%
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	60	0.006	$0.39	$0.21	+116.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	124	0.003	$0.31	$-0.06	-16.7%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	29	0.010	$0.29	$0.20	+233.3%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	1	0.037	$0.04	$-0.00	-6.2%