| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
40,000 |
0.790 |
$31,620.00 |
$11,620.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
40,000 |
0.209 |
$8,380.00 |
$-11,620.00 |
-58.1% |
| Will there be at least 10,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
583 |
0.998 |
$582.02 |
$3.20 |
+0.6% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? |
Yes |
594 |
0.790 |
$469.65 |
$17.48 |
+3.9% |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
970 |
0.355 |
$344.45 |
$-144.72 |
-29.6% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
No |
338 |
0.680 |
$229.69 |
$60.80 |
+36.0% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
340 |
0.595 |
$202.44 |
$72.56 |
+55.9% |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? |
Yes |
302 |
0.610 |
$184.36 |
$90.29 |
+96.0% |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? |
No |
180 |
0.962 |
$172.83 |
$-1.21 |
-0.7% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
605 |
0.210 |
$126.95 |
$16.80 |
+15.2% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? |
Yes |
384 |
0.295 |
$113.40 |
$-3.61 |
-3.1% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
80 |
0.850 |
$68.00 |
$45.70 |
+204.9% |
| Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Severe Tropical Storm" at Japan landfall? |
No |
74 |
0.810 |
$59.94 |
$16.28 |
+37.3% |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30? |
Yes |
250 |
0.225 |
$56.23 |
$-14.91 |
-21.0% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600B on August 31? |
No |
45 |
0.820 |
$37.03 |
$5.87 |
+18.8% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? |
No |
40 |
0.856 |
$34.22 |
$0.02 |
+0.1% |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.057 |
$28.25 |
$-27.75 |
-49.6% |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? |
No |
45 |
0.570 |
$25.86 |
$4.25 |
+19.7% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31? |
Yes |
92 |
0.265 |
$24.33 |
$14.23 |
+140.9% |
| Will Amir Hassan be the MI-08 Republican nominee? |
No |
30 |
0.750 |
$22.48 |
$0.22 |
+1.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.945 |
$18.90 |
$3.70 |
+24.3% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on August 31? |
Yes |
405 |
0.025 |
$10.29 |
$6.24 |
+154.0% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31? |
Yes |
60 |
0.165 |
$9.86 |
$6.87 |
+230.0% |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.024 |
$9.40 |
$-38.60 |
-80.4% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on August 31? |
Yes |
203 |
0.040 |
$8.11 |
$0.19 |
+2.3% |