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Trader

0x64b2120337f24f46bec3a36dda3254f902de55de
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$36
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-25.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
54W / 159L · 94 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
106W / 159L · 42 open
Trades (30d)
307
across 12 markets · ~26 per market
EV / position
−$5.15
avg win $9 · loss $11
Profit Factor
0.33
$18 won / $54 lost
Reward / Risk
0.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,462 · all-time $83,333

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.2% 247W/185L 102 $698
🏛 Politics 100.0% 48W/0L 19 $90
🎬 Culture 100.0% 48W/0L 3 $57
💵 Economy 2 $3
⚽ Sports 2 $39

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No 40 0.968 $38.47 $0.47 +1.2%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 39 0.963 $37.35 $0.35 +0.9%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 18 0.905 $16.63 $1.18 +7.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 19 0.855 $15.96 $0.96 +6.4%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 15 0.977 $14.23 $0.68 +5.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 14 0.875 $12.50 $0.39 +3.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 9 0.935 $8.43 $-0.05 -0.5%
Iran leadership change by August 31? No 8 0.977 $8.18 $0.18 +2.3%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 8 0.945 $7.34 $0.08 +1.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 8 0.835 $6.50 $0.65 +11.1%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 9 0.705 $6.47 $0.47 +7.8%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 7 0.935 $6.26 $0.26 +4.3%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No 8 0.715 $6.04 $0.04 +0.7%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 5 0.979 $5.20 $0.20 +4.1%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? No 5 0.955 $5.07 $0.07 +1.4%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes 9 0.535 $4.97 $-0.03 -0.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 5 0.999 $4.51 $0.33 +7.8%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No 4 0.945 $4.16 $0.29 +7.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 18 0.215 $3.77 $-4.40 -53.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 14 0.245 $3.44 $-0.56 -13.9%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.905 $3.16 $0.16 +5.3%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 3 0.945 $3.15 $0.15 +5.0%
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? No 3 0.925 $3.12 $0.12 +3.9%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 4 0.865 $3.10 $0.10 +3.4%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 3 0.935 $3.01 $0.01 +0.2%