PnL (30d)

+$250

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+18.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

77%

24W / 7L · 63 open

Win Return (30d)

89%

84W / 10L

Trades (30d)

94

across 14 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$27.78

avg win $43 · loss $26

Profit Factor

5.88

$301 won / $51 lost

Reward / Risk

1.68

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.7% 567W/646L	321	$43,761
⚽ Sports	48.0% 95W/103L	63	$9,434
🏛 Politics	100.0% 13W/0L	6	$891
🎬 Culture	100.0% 11W/0L	2	$442

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	1,500	0.790	$1,185.75	$435.75	+58.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	460	0.905	$416.30	$213.90	+105.7%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,500	0.209	$314.25	$-435.75	-58.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	200	1.000	$199.90	$41.90	+26.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	192	0.999	$191.58	$36.45	+23.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	200	0.825	$165.00	$-3.00	-1.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	200	0.795	$159.00	$51.00	+47.2%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	150	0.950	$142.50	$66.00	+86.3%
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group B	Abyssal	135	1.000	$134.93	$97.13	+257.0%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	120	1.000	$119.94	$13.14	+12.3%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner	INOX Division	100	1.000	$99.95	$21.95	+28.1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	100	1.000	$99.95	$49.95	+99.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	300	0.185	$55.50	$-82.50	-59.8%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1,586	0.035	$54.73	$-190.59	-77.7%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage	ALKA	295	0.175	$51.62	$7.38	+16.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	50	0.998	$49.88	$13.38	+36.6%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	1win	100	0.370	$37.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs	fnatic	200	0.085	$17.00	$-11.00	-39.3%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner	fnatic	100	0.001	$0.05	$-41.95	-99.9%