| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.610 |
$11.40 |
$2.43 |
+27.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
20 |
0.355 |
$7.01 |
$-0.89 |
-11.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
13 |
0.525 |
$6.98 |
$-1.26 |
-15.3% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
No |
16 |
0.415 |
$6.52 |
$-1.81 |
-21.7% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.700 |
$6.40 |
$0.55 |
+9.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.410 |
$6.39 |
$0.78 |
+13.9% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
73 |
0.085 |
$6.18 |
$-4.73 |
-43.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
9 |
0.685 |
$6.16 |
$0.31 |
+5.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
44 |
0.135 |
$5.95 |
$-2.86 |
-32.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.625 |
$5.91 |
$0.05 |
+0.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
18 |
0.325 |
$5.88 |
$-2.08 |
-26.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
13 |
0.445 |
$5.87 |
$0.07 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.560 |
$5.80 |
$0.10 |
+1.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.505 |
$5.76 |
$-0.06 |
-1.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
10 |
0.585 |
$5.66 |
$-0.05 |
-0.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
67 |
0.074 |
$4.98 |
$-3.04 |
-37.9% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
17 |
0.285 |
$4.87 |
$-3.17 |
-39.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
12 |
0.385 |
$4.66 |
$-1.27 |
-21.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.125 |
$3.60 |
$-5.05 |
-58.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.036 |
$2.16 |
$-6.23 |
-74.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
10 |
0.185 |
$1.79 |
$-4.01 |
-69.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.961 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+3.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
19 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-5.76 |
-99.8% |