Trader
0x64810b0bcc2dc3de48256db3bc419c941dfe32d0
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$12
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
5W / 3L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
6W / 3L
Trades (30d)
9
across 9 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.47
avg win $3 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.58
$16 won / $28 lost
Reward / Risk
0.35
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$26
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $410 · all-time $56,014
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
23.9%
1,102W/3,504L
|
2005 |
$2,387 |
|
₿ Crypto
|
23.8%
110W/352L
|
196 |
$145 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
62.5%
5W/3L
|
9 |
$105 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5? |
Yes |
15 |
1.000 |
$14.98 |
$1.41 |
+10.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5? |
Yes |
15 |
0.997 |
$14.95 |
$0.91 |
+6.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? |
Yes |
15 |
0.997 |
$14.91 |
$11.42 |
+327.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
15 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-11.24 |
-99.9% |