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Trader leaderboard/gamblito

gamblito

0x6452eee1d08be21886bafcc4cc41ef4bb53130a1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,071
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$82
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+19.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
1%
3W / 486L · 1,385 open
Win Return (30d)
74%
1,388W / 486L
Trades (30d)
1,874
across 5 markets · ~375 per market
EV / position
+$267.64
avg win $581 · loss $46
Profit Factor
12.73
$1,162 won / $91 lost
Reward / Risk
12.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $31,804,536

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 2.0% 10W/491L 13 $23,760
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $1,000
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $1,000

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 2,788 0.815 $2,271.70 $271.70 +13.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,857 0.360 $1,028.57 $28.57 +2.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No 1,088 0.829 $901.56 $-98.44 -9.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No 1,446 0.595 $860.53 $-139.47 -13.9%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 513,496 0.002 $770.24 $-3,610.90 -82.4%
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? No 1,015 0.735 $746.37 $86.24 +13.1%
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No 859 0.810 $695.61 $98.90 +16.6%
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No 758 0.715 $541.96 $41.96 +8.4%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 2,122 0.255 $541.24 $41.24 +8.2%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 1,132 0.405 $458.61 $58.61 +14.7%
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? No 442 0.980 $432.73 $32.73 +8.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,790 0.155 $432.44 $-67.56 -13.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 971 0.400 $388.37 $-111.63 -22.3%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 10,003 0.019 $190.05 $-70.04 -26.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 3,975 0.035 $137.13 $-862.86 -86.3%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 13,434 0.009 $114.19 $-32.47 -22.1%
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 184 0.380 $69.82 $-26.76 -27.7%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 5,741 0.006 $34.44 $-48.29 -58.4%