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Trader leaderboard/Shadursky

Shadursky

0x63c6169ce52343b2de939559cfc7cc42d66a3e53
PnL (30d)
+$1,128
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$255
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
64W / 13L · 60 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
107W / 30L
Trades (30d)
137
across 25 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$161.20
avg win $300 · loss $674
Profit Factor
2.67
$1,803 won / $674 lost
Reward / Risk
0.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$674
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,447 · all-time $70,154

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 83.1% 64W/13L 25 $10,884
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/13L 8 $2,756

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 2,593 0.875 $2,269.09 $-12.97 -0.6%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 1,250 0.675 $843.75 $93.75 +12.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 1,000 0.835 $834.99 $43.86 +5.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 1,926 0.385 $741.45 $529.61 +250.0%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 861 0.680 $585.32 $8.89 +1.5%
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? No 499 0.982 $489.81 $-0.27 -0.1%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No 540 0.845 $456.30 $5.39 +1.2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 470 0.920 $432.31 $20.60 +5.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 355 0.915 $324.67 $127.23 +64.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 331 0.865 $286.45 $14.90 +5.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 239 0.969 $231.67 $9.32 +4.2%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 222 0.945 $209.55 $23.28 +12.5%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 216 0.958 $207.05 $10.27 +5.2%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 326 0.600 $195.35 $55.81 +40.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? No 221 0.875 $193.20 $-7.43 -3.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 185 0.997 $184.31 $4.26 +2.4%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 75 0.989 $74.49 $0.64 +0.9%
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? No 60 0.945 $57.01 $-0.30 -0.5%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 55 0.997 $55.22 $2.58 +4.9%
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? No 21 0.915 $18.85 $0.10 +0.5%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? No 76 0.215 $16.33 $-16.33 -50.0%
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? No 17 0.910 $15.62 $0.56 +3.8%