| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
40 |
0.715 |
$28.31 |
$14.49 |
+104.9% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
No |
65 |
0.420 |
$27.26 |
$-20.74 |
-43.2% |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? |
Yes |
2,610 |
0.009 |
$24.79 |
$-55.20 |
-69.0% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
887 |
0.024 |
$20.86 |
$0.86 |
+4.3% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.740 |
$11.82 |
$1.99 |
+20.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.945 |
$11.48 |
$0.48 |
+4.4% |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
3,793 |
0.003 |
$11.38 |
$-6.93 |
-37.9% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
128 |
0.086 |
$10.96 |
$0.96 |
+9.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
256 |
0.040 |
$10.11 |
$-6.89 |
-40.5% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
1,680 |
0.005 |
$9.24 |
$-14.76 |
-61.5% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.906 |
$9.06 |
$1.76 |
+24.2% |
| Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? |
Yes |
80 |
0.107 |
$8.60 |
$3.00 |
+53.6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
36 |
0.185 |
$6.61 |
$-3.39 |
-33.9% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
30 |
0.220 |
$6.60 |
$-1.10 |
-14.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
38 |
0.165 |
$6.32 |
$-4.68 |
-42.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
8 |
0.675 |
$5.72 |
$0.72 |
+14.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
12 |
0.445 |
$5.56 |
$-0.44 |
-7.3% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
7 |
0.750 |
$5.56 |
$0.56 |
+11.2% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
36 |
0.146 |
$5.22 |
$2.87 |
+122.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.454 |
$5.08 |
$0.08 |
+1.6% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.625 |
$4.73 |
$-0.27 |
-5.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
9 |
0.455 |
$4.04 |
$0.04 |
+1.1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
38 |
0.095 |
$3.65 |
$-1.35 |
-26.9% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
Yes |
38 |
0.075 |
$2.88 |
$-2.12 |
-42.3% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
4 |
0.635 |
$2.84 |
$-0.16 |
-5.2% |