| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
115,000 |
0.790 |
$90,907.50 |
$33,407.50 |
+58.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
41,536 |
0.770 |
$31,983.08 |
$4,057.86 |
+14.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
30,075 |
0.855 |
$25,714.21 |
$8,306.98 |
+47.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
26,200 |
0.925 |
$24,235.00 |
$1,234.10 |
+5.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
115,000 |
0.209 |
$24,092.50 |
$-33,407.50 |
-58.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
22,205 |
0.935 |
$20,762.08 |
$5,362.52 |
+34.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
20,000 |
0.845 |
$16,900.00 |
$1,200.02 |
+7.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
14,804 |
0.835 |
$12,361.01 |
$6,087.14 |
+97.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
11,857 |
0.905 |
$10,730.34 |
$2,916.90 |
+37.3% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10,722 |
0.915 |
$9,810.37 |
$464.18 |
+5.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
9,022 |
0.785 |
$7,082.02 |
$4,697.43 |
+197.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
7,280 |
0.945 |
$6,879.48 |
$1,304.49 |
+23.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
4,336 |
0.955 |
$4,141.29 |
$759.40 |
+22.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
3,634 |
0.999 |
$3,628.13 |
$1,211.00 |
+50.1% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,486 |
0.760 |
$1,889.52 |
$621.57 |
+49.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
3,602 |
0.461 |
$1,658.86 |
$-542.91 |
-24.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,938 |
0.850 |
$1,646.38 |
$584.77 |
+55.1% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.335 |
$670.00 |
$-870.00 |
-56.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.655 |
$655.00 |
$-5.00 |
-0.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.680 |
$408.00 |
$-12.00 |
-2.9% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
491 |
0.825 |
$404.67 |
$115.85 |
+40.1% |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? |
No |
237 |
0.967 |
$229.52 |
$25.67 |
+12.6% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? |
No |
233 |
0.860 |
$200.17 |
$21.14 |
+11.8% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
951 |
0.145 |
$137.84 |
$-79.15 |
-36.5% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2,310 |
0.045 |
$105.10 |
$8.90 |
+9.3% |