| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
16,872 |
0.835 |
$14,088.29 |
$624.17 |
+4.6% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
8,017 |
0.963 |
$7,716.22 |
$477.00 |
+6.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
11,000 |
0.675 |
$7,425.00 |
$1,185.01 |
+19.0% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? |
No |
6,999 |
0.875 |
$6,124.11 |
$750.47 |
+14.0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
6,013 |
0.963 |
$5,787.57 |
$526.15 |
+10.0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
7,065 |
0.745 |
$5,263.42 |
$979.14 |
+22.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,111 |
0.925 |
$4,727.68 |
$434.44 |
+10.1% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? |
No |
4,444 |
0.955 |
$4,243.99 |
$311.08 |
+7.9% |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? |
No |
3,766 |
0.963 |
$3,624.67 |
$235.37 |
+6.9% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
3,333 |
0.967 |
$3,223.01 |
$856.58 |
+36.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
3,350 |
0.935 |
$3,131.96 |
$986.19 |
+46.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,335 |
0.755 |
$1,763.11 |
$-60.64 |
-3.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
3,346 |
0.485 |
$1,622.96 |
$209.32 |
+14.8% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? |
No |
1,551 |
0.925 |
$1,434.29 |
$226.91 |
+18.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
3,333 |
0.358 |
$1,193.20 |
$793.24 |
+198.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
2,222 |
0.485 |
$1,077.67 |
$99.99 |
+10.2% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,003 |
0.845 |
$847.54 |
$95.54 |
+12.7% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? |
No |
950 |
0.885 |
$841.08 |
$52.27 |
+6.6% |
| Blue wave in 2026? |
Yes |
930 |
0.745 |
$692.84 |
$153.92 |
+28.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,276 |
0.455 |
$580.63 |
$159.51 |
+37.9% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
587 |
0.945 |
$554.64 |
$171.08 |
+44.6% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
441 |
0.982 |
$432.75 |
$44.95 |
+11.6% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
577 |
0.715 |
$412.33 |
$77.85 |
+23.3% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
497 |
0.615 |
$305.46 |
$-2.48 |
-0.8% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
8,329 |
0.033 |
$274.84 |
$-1,690.68 |
-86.0% |