| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
114 |
0.925 |
$105.11 |
$5.11 |
+5.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
48 |
0.245 |
$11.68 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.820 |
$11.18 |
$2.18 |
+24.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
78 |
0.135 |
$10.57 |
$-2.43 |
-18.7% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
12 |
0.740 |
$9.12 |
$-1.56 |
-14.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
13 |
0.353 |
$4.71 |
$-0.34 |
-6.8% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
6 |
0.800 |
$4.62 |
$-0.38 |
-7.7% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
79 |
0.055 |
$4.32 |
$-15.68 |
-78.4% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
Yes |
52 |
0.082 |
$4.23 |
$2.23 |
+111.4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
50 |
0.073 |
$3.66 |
$-3.34 |
-47.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? |
No |
3 |
0.997 |
$2.79 |
$0.79 |
+39.3% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.966 |
$2.57 |
$-0.01 |
-0.4% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.165 |
$2.36 |
$1.36 |
+135.7% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.325 |
$2.17 |
$1.17 |
+116.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? |
No |
2 |
1.000 |
$2.16 |
$0.16 |
+8.0% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.930 |
$1.82 |
$0.82 |
+82.4% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
3 |
0.607 |
$1.76 |
$-0.57 |
-24.4% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
3 |
0.606 |
$1.52 |
$0.52 |
+51.8% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
43 |
0.034 |
$1.48 |
$0.48 |
+47.8% |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.475 |
$1.36 |
$0.36 |
+35.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
1 |
0.997 |
$1.31 |
$0.31 |
+31.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
15 |
0.080 |
$1.18 |
$-1.55 |
-56.9% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.210 |
$1.14 |
$-1.86 |
-61.9% |
| Will Todd Blanche be the next Attorney General? |
Yes |
1 |
0.955 |
$1.11 |
$0.11 |
+11.0% |
| Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? |
Yes |
1 |
0.870 |
$1.09 |
$0.09 |
+8.7% |