| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
1,136 |
0.930 |
$1,056.14 |
$130.01 |
+14.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
3,135 |
0.095 |
$297.86 |
$-173.23 |
-36.8% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
2,053 |
0.135 |
$277.20 |
$67.59 |
+32.2% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
450 |
0.474 |
$213.53 |
$-2.02 |
-0.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
3,071 |
0.045 |
$138.20 |
$-162.78 |
-54.1% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
1,851 |
0.065 |
$120.30 |
$-4.24 |
-3.4% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
450 |
0.135 |
$60.75 |
$-39.75 |
-39.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
1,050 |
0.055 |
$57.75 |
$-29.35 |
-33.7% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
321 |
0.175 |
$56.17 |
$-120.65 |
-68.2% |
| Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
440 |
0.095 |
$41.75 |
$-5.81 |
-12.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
350 |
0.095 |
$33.25 |
$-33.25 |
-50.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
1,584 |
0.019 |
$30.88 |
$-91.19 |
-74.7% |
| Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
396 |
0.065 |
$25.74 |
$1.98 |
+8.3% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? |
Yes |
250 |
0.065 |
$16.25 |
$-6.25 |
-27.8% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.058 |
$14.37 |
$-3.12 |
-17.9% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Yes |
250 |
0.055 |
$13.75 |
$-8.75 |
-38.9% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
55 |
0.180 |
$9.82 |
$1.09 |
+12.5% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.095 |
$9.50 |
$-23.50 |
-71.2% |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
5,005 |
0.002 |
$7.51 |
$-2.50 |
-25.0% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.145 |
$5.80 |
$0.20 |
+3.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
3,686 |
0.002 |
$5.53 |
$-29.83 |
-84.4% |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.003 |
$5.00 |
$-3.00 |
-37.5% |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
59 |
0.083 |
$4.84 |
$3.08 |
+175.0% |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2,200 |
0.002 |
$3.30 |
$-5.50 |
-62.5% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
3 |
0.047 |
$0.16 |
$0.10 |
+185.7% |