| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
457 |
0.105 |
$48.04 |
$2.48 |
+5.4% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
910 |
0.018 |
$16.84 |
$9.43 |
+127.4% |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? |
Yes |
75 |
0.185 |
$13.91 |
$6.11 |
+78.4% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.015 |
$12.40 |
$1.20 |
+10.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
300 |
0.032 |
$9.45 |
$0.15 |
+1.6% |
| Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
Yes |
280 |
0.010 |
$2.80 |
$0.08 |
+2.9% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? |
Yes |
423 |
0.006 |
$2.75 |
$0.89 |
+47.9% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
20 |
0.125 |
$2.50 |
$0.50 |
+25.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.011 |
$2.30 |
$0.10 |
+4.5% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
70 |
0.029 |
$1.99 |
$-0.24 |
-10.8% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.038 |
$1.92 |
$-0.03 |
-1.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
35 |
0.054 |
$1.89 |
$0.14 |
+8.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? |
Yes |
81 |
0.023 |
$1.86 |
$1.62 |
+666.6% |
| Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
Yes |
216 |
0.006 |
$1.40 |
$-1.21 |
-46.3% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? |
Yes |
300 |
0.004 |
$1.20 |
$-0.90 |
-42.9% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.115 |
$0.96 |
$0.12 |
+15.0% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.051 |
$0.85 |
$0.06 |
+8.3% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
Yes |
25 |
0.033 |
$0.81 |
$-0.26 |
-24.4% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.002 |
$0.75 |
$-0.25 |
-25.0% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.003 |
$0.60 |
$-0.10 |
-14.3% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.081 |
$0.41 |
$-0.02 |
-3.6% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? |
Yes |
20 |
0.019 |
$0.38 |
$0.02 |
+5.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? |
Yes |
5 |
0.061 |
$0.30 |
$0.14 |
+90.6% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? |
Yes |
78 |
0.003 |
$0.19 |
$-0.12 |
-37.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.007 |
$0.14 |
$-0.04 |
-22.2% |