pulgarcito23
0x62614941e83ed27ab1b6ff7c81207b16f4682e11
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$238
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$136
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-35.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
9W / 15L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
11W / 16L
Trades (30d)
27
across 6 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$59.50
avg win $15 · loss $134
Profit Factor
0.11
$30 won / $268 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$268
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,162 · all-time $344,078
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? |
No |
338 |
1.000 |
$338.30 |
$163.78 |
+93.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? |
No |
53 |
0.955 |
$50.61 |
$9.36 |
+22.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? |
No |
730 |
0.035 |
$25.57 |
$-299.62 |
-92.1% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
17 |
0.033 |
$0.55 |
$-0.45 |
-44.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? |
No |
32 |
0.003 |
$0.10 |
$-28.14 |
-99.7% |