| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
5,100 |
0.987 |
$5,031.14 |
$209.99 |
+4.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
3,400 |
0.935 |
$3,179.00 |
$491.01 |
+18.3% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
1,700 |
0.987 |
$1,677.04 |
$121.55 |
+7.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,700 |
0.835 |
$1,419.50 |
$-44.50 |
-3.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,000 |
0.875 |
$875.00 |
$5.00 |
+0.6% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
740 |
0.997 |
$737.40 |
$147.81 |
+25.1% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
500 |
0.905 |
$452.50 |
$-4.00 |
-0.9% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
700 |
0.625 |
$437.50 |
$-35.50 |
-7.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.835 |
$417.50 |
$57.50 |
+16.0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.905 |
$361.98 |
$42.00 |
+13.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
550 |
0.615 |
$338.25 |
$-68.75 |
-16.9% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
300 |
0.660 |
$198.00 |
$39.00 |
+24.5% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
200 |
0.949 |
$189.80 |
$19.80 |
+11.6% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
188 |
0.974 |
$183.58 |
$12.91 |
+7.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.690 |
$137.98 |
$63.98 |
+86.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
602 |
0.215 |
$129.51 |
$-297.50 |
-69.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
200 |
0.515 |
$103.00 |
$23.00 |
+28.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
109 |
0.540 |
$59.07 |
$-40.47 |
-40.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.041 |
$40.50 |
$0.50 |
+1.2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.038 |
$30.80 |
$-1.20 |
-3.7% |
| Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.017 |
$3.30 |
$-12.10 |
-78.6% |