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Trader leaderboard/0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065

0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065

0x61f2fb3bae210403381409e565d784d97818e77a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$13
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$27
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
143W / 30L · 916 open
Win Return (30d)
84%
901W / 175L · 13 open
Trades (30d)
1,089
across 294 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.44
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.56
$16 won / $29 lost
Reward / Risk
0.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,996 · all-time $79,942

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 83.9% 239W/46L 497 $11,657
🏛 Politics 86.3% 44W/7L 141 $2,062
💵 Economy 100.0% 3W/0L 48 $669
₿ Crypto 31 $443
🤖 Tech 100.0% 2W/0L 17 $216
🎬 Culture 100.0% 16W/0L 16 $301
⚽ Sports 6 $135
🔬 Science 4 $50
🌤 Weather 3 $42

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

159 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? No 111 0.968 $107.54 $-0.92 -0.8%
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? No 23 0.923 $21.42 $-0.54 -2.5%
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? No 20 0.873 $17.75 $-0.26 -1.4%
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? No 20 0.783 $15.67 $-1.24 -7.3%
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? No 20 0.745 $14.90 $-0.95 -6.0%
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No 15 0.890 $13.35 $-0.25 -1.8%
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? No 13 0.890 $11.53 $0.13 +1.1%
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No 11 0.910 $10.46 $-0.16 -1.6%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No 15 0.685 $10.28 $1.48 +16.8%
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No 11 0.935 $9.97 $0.16 +1.6%
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No 15 0.650 $9.75 $-1.20 -11.0%
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No 10 0.969 $9.69 $0.36 +3.9%
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No 10 0.954 $9.54 $0.17 +1.9%
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? Avengers: Doomsday 10 0.951 $9.51 $0.36 +3.9%
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 10 0.950 $9.50 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.945 $9.45 $0.05 +0.5%
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? No 10 0.943 $9.43 $0.12 +1.3%
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No 10 0.933 $9.33 $0.20 +2.2%
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No 10 0.924 $9.24 $0.13 +1.4%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? No 10 0.922 $9.22 $-0.02 -0.2%
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 10 0.914 $9.14 $0.34 +3.9%
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No 10 0.888 $8.88 $-0.53 -5.6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? No 10 0.885 $8.85 $-0.15 -1.7%
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? No 10 0.885 $8.85 $0.35 +4.1%
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? No 10 0.885 $8.85 $-0.35 -3.8%