dthkuy
0x61b9fedc9e2d8891c2e2219125a766f7181320a3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$119
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$74
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
94%
167W / 11L · 150 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
291W / 35L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
328
across 12 markets · ~27 per market
EV / position
+$23.87
avg win $62 · loss $1
Profit Factor
28.28
$124 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
42.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,389 · all-time $444,128
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.155 |
$15.50 |
$2.83 |
+22.4% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Yes |
195 |
0.055 |
$10.75 |
$-8.11 |
-43.0% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
Yes |
62 |
0.145 |
$9.06 |
$0.51 |
+5.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.075 |
$7.50 |
$-3.50 |
-31.8% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.055 |
$5.50 |
$0.50 |
+10.0% |
| Squid FDV above $150M one day after launch |
Yes |
220 |
0.015 |
$3.41 |
$-11.82 |
-77.6% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100 |
0.015 |
$1.45 |
$-1.25 |
-46.3% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
300 |
0.004 |
$1.05 |
$-1.35 |
-56.2% |