| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? |
No |
669 |
0.855 |
$571.98 |
$60.19 |
+11.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
549 |
0.927 |
$509.20 |
$44.91 |
+9.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? |
No |
330 |
0.964 |
$318.12 |
$23.72 |
+8.1% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? |
Yes |
314 |
0.850 |
$266.93 |
$19.70 |
+8.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? |
No |
250 |
0.972 |
$243.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
No |
235 |
0.865 |
$203.02 |
$13.08 |
+6.9% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.963 |
$192.50 |
$9.80 |
+5.4% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.839 |
$167.79 |
$14.80 |
+9.7% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? |
No |
167 |
0.920 |
$153.67 |
$26.96 |
+21.3% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
161 |
0.920 |
$148.12 |
$11.27 |
+8.2% |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? |
Yes |
159 |
0.925 |
$146.74 |
$34.27 |
+30.5% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.865 |
$129.75 |
$2.25 |
+1.8% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? |
No |
147 |
0.860 |
$126.31 |
$5.14 |
+4.2% |
| Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? |
No |
132 |
0.905 |
$119.79 |
$17.16 |
+16.7% |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? |
Yes |
106 |
0.977 |
$103.98 |
$21.99 |
+26.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.957 |
$95.70 |
$14.70 |
+18.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.945 |
$94.50 |
$11.50 |
+13.9% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? |
No |
107 |
0.825 |
$88.36 |
$-4.82 |
-5.2% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? |
No |
66 |
0.915 |
$60.79 |
$4.04 |
+7.1% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
50 |
0.993 |
$49.65 |
$7.65 |
+18.2% |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? |
No |
50 |
0.942 |
$47.10 |
$6.60 |
+16.3% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
64 |
0.715 |
$45.90 |
$-1.75 |
-3.7% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.905 |
$45.25 |
$4.75 |
+11.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
50 |
0.875 |
$43.75 |
$1.25 |
+2.9% |
| Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? |
No |
33 |
0.980 |
$32.20 |
$2.28 |
+7.6% |