Varil
0x611f56fb8b2852cd7865b6f1ff645ed8291dec74
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$105
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
889W / 0L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
889W / 0L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
897
across 184 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$0.59
avg win $1
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $112,232 · all-time $1,451,113
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
100.0%
3,750W/0L
|
669 |
$473,336 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
100.0%
147W/0L
|
36 |
$35,158 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5? |
No |
4,004 |
1.000 |
$4,002.00 |
$2.00 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
4,004 |
1.000 |
$4,002.00 |
$2.00 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
919 |
1.000 |
$918.89 |
$0.46 |
+0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
417 |
1.000 |
$416.57 |
$0.21 |
+0.1% |