| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
3,500 |
0.745 |
$2,607.49 |
$607.53 |
+30.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
1,110 |
0.855 |
$949.05 |
$227.55 |
+31.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
1,476 |
0.615 |
$907.61 |
$-341.14 |
-27.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
925 |
0.840 |
$777.00 |
$16.00 |
+2.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.455 |
$455.00 |
$-84.00 |
-15.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
448 |
0.815 |
$365.13 |
$-20.87 |
-5.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
357 |
0.976 |
$348.39 |
$48.39 |
+16.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
482 |
0.695 |
$334.73 |
$-7.27 |
-2.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
600 |
0.545 |
$327.00 |
$-7.00 |
-2.1% |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
400 |
0.805 |
$322.00 |
$39.50 |
+14.0% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.920 |
$276.00 |
$12.00 |
+4.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
227 |
0.955 |
$216.91 |
$31.91 |
+17.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.963 |
$192.50 |
$16.50 |
+9.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
200 |
0.885 |
$177.00 |
$7.00 |
+4.1% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.855 |
$170.99 |
$1.00 |
+0.6% |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
200 |
0.805 |
$161.00 |
$43.00 |
+36.4% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.635 |
$158.74 |
$-7.75 |
-4.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.519 |
$155.85 |
$-79.15 |
-33.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.964 |
$144.53 |
$18.52 |
+14.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.710 |
$141.99 |
$6.00 |
+4.4% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
150 |
0.875 |
$131.25 |
$3.75 |
+2.9% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.585 |
$117.00 |
$-33.00 |
-22.0% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? |
Yes |
150 |
0.670 |
$100.50 |
$10.50 |
+11.7% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.780 |
$78.00 |
$-3.00 |
-3.7% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.770 |
$77.00 |
$-4.00 |
-4.9% |