PnL (30d)

−$2,691

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$61

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-22.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

70W / 31L · 72 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

106W / 63L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

173

across 28 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$192.19

avg win $117 · loss $501

Profit Factor

0.23

$820 won / $3,510 lost

Reward / Risk

0.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	69.3% 70W/31L	28	$14,644
₿ Crypto	—	6	$2,968
💵 Economy	—	6	$2,968

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	5,642	0.902	$5,092.27	$2,733.02	+115.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	9,201	0.330	$3,036.26	$-722.10	-19.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	3,900	0.665	$2,593.49	$-187.49	-6.7%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	2,768	0.895	$2,477.58	$1,447.20	+140.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	5,782	0.400	$2,312.79	$741.30	+47.2%
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	2,593	0.775	$2,009.36	$1,329.02	+195.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	1,700	0.696	$1,182.35	$-161.35	-12.0%
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	1,340	0.839	$1,123.92	$-13.40	-1.2%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	1,033	0.926	$957.12	$739.48	+339.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	1,503	0.595	$894.14	$83.53	+10.3%
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	621	0.925	$574.29	$193.25	+50.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	2,195	0.255	$559.60	$-39.44	-6.6%
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	1,500	0.335	$502.50	$-193.50	-27.8%
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	472	0.986	$465.77	$64.24	+16.0%
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	79	0.917	$72.83	$14.09	+24.0%
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch	No	1,800	0.031	$55.80	$-266.20	-82.7%
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	89	0.455	$40.57	$20.95	+106.8%
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	39	0.880	$34.16	$28.34	+486.7%
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	50	0.390	$19.50	$15.00	+333.3%
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	15	0.983	$15.15	$2.82	+22.9%
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	16	0.650	$10.25	$6.62	+182.6%
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	11	0.950	$10.15	$5.77	+131.6%
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	12	0.590	$7.20	$4.15	+136.0%
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	185	0.021	$3.96	$-33.04	-89.3%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	3	0.966	$2.75	$0.73	+36.1%