| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
565 |
0.835 |
$471.44 |
$-19.47 |
-4.0% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
357 |
0.786 |
$280.51 |
$52.61 |
+23.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
257 |
0.900 |
$231.71 |
$85.48 |
+58.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
358 |
0.625 |
$223.69 |
$-13.39 |
-5.6% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
215 |
0.996 |
$213.86 |
$8.17 |
+4.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
208 |
0.987 |
$205.27 |
$9.35 |
+4.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
220 |
0.852 |
$187.40 |
$6.72 |
+3.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
186 |
0.935 |
$173.49 |
$1.16 |
+0.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
636 |
0.255 |
$162.11 |
$-100.09 |
-38.2% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
167 |
0.935 |
$156.16 |
$0.83 |
+0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
183 |
0.835 |
$152.80 |
$7.18 |
+4.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
248 |
0.595 |
$147.29 |
$39.78 |
+37.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
155 |
0.905 |
$140.55 |
$16.50 |
+13.3% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
201 |
0.675 |
$135.53 |
$19.41 |
+16.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
135 |
0.963 |
$130.34 |
$0.74 |
+0.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
147 |
0.850 |
$124.83 |
$5.94 |
+5.0% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
132 |
0.905 |
$119.58 |
$1.76 |
+1.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
137 |
0.825 |
$112.79 |
$3.15 |
+2.9% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
113 |
0.976 |
$110.31 |
$4.16 |
+3.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
487 |
0.215 |
$104.72 |
$-197.91 |
-65.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
104 |
0.982 |
$102.43 |
$5.04 |
+5.2% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
109 |
0.915 |
$99.46 |
$-0.54 |
-0.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
112 |
0.855 |
$95.94 |
$3.96 |
+4.3% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
107 |
0.875 |
$93.93 |
$0.90 |
+1.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
305 |
0.305 |
$93.02 |
$13.36 |
+16.8% |