PnL (30d)

+$19

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$43

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+6.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

36%

4W / 7L · 48 open

Win Return (30d)

20%

12W / 47L

Trades (30d)

59

across 16 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$3.80

avg win $13 · loss $2

Profit Factor

3.69

$26 won / $7 lost

Reward / Risk

5.54

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$7

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	36.4% 4W/7L	16	$577
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/5L	3	$8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%?	Yes	69	0.141	$9.65	$-2.73	-22.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.90	$-1.50	-62.5%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	26	0.006	$0.17	$-1.45	-89.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-1.95	-92.9%
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 15–20%?	Yes	66	0.001	$0.03	$-4.25	-99.2%
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 10–15%?	Yes	55	0.001	$0.03	$-3.25	-99.2%
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	15	0.001	$0.01	$-3.57	-99.8%