PnL (30d)

−$13

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

57%

170W / 127L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

170W / 133L

Trades (30d)

303

across 195 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.07

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.76

$41 won / $54 lost

Reward / Risk

0.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	57.2% 170W/127L	195	$329
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$1
🏛 Politics	—	1	$15
🎬 Culture	—	1	$15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	20	0.610	$12.07	$-3.01	-20.0%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	10	0.580	$5.68	$-0.19	-3.3%
Will Patrick Mahomes be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	1	0.396	$0.46	$-0.54	-53.8%
Will Bijan Robinson be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	1	0.104	$0.12	$-0.88	-87.7%
Will Jonathan Taylor be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	1	0.026	$0.03	$-0.97	-96.8%
Will Aaron Rodgers be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?	Yes	1	0.004	$0.00	$-0.99	-99.5%