ThemanofLadyLuck
0x5fdad8fd269101e238b854870f78cae9b63f01d5
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
45%
5W / 6L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
20
across 6 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $830 · all-time $1,901,129
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,003 |
0.184 |
$1,845.64 |
$-479.86 |
-20.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
6,621 |
0.086 |
$566.09 |
$56.28 |
+11.0% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? |
No |
125 |
0.945 |
$118.14 |
$20.90 |
+21.5% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
4,795 |
0.025 |
$117.47 |
$7.19 |
+6.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
129 |
0.852 |
$109.66 |
$3.26 |
+3.1% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
494 |
0.165 |
$81.26 |
$8.98 |
+12.4% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? |
No |
54 |
0.930 |
$50.50 |
$11.49 |
+29.4% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
244 |
0.150 |
$36.60 |
$-4.86 |
-11.7% |