| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
4,311 |
0.998 |
$4,300.22 |
$2,144.72 |
+99.5% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
No |
1,000 |
0.540 |
$540.00 |
$-45.00 |
-7.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
608 |
0.845 |
$513.76 |
$55.03 |
+12.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.987 |
$493.24 |
$46.85 |
+10.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
400 |
0.935 |
$374.00 |
$14.00 |
+3.9% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.905 |
$361.98 |
$10.00 |
+2.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
400 |
0.865 |
$346.00 |
$16.00 |
+4.8% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.823 |
$329.20 |
$21.91 |
+7.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.755 |
$302.00 |
$-5.00 |
-1.6% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
300 |
0.980 |
$293.85 |
$4.65 |
+1.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
340 |
0.845 |
$287.29 |
$120.02 |
+71.7% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
320 |
0.895 |
$286.22 |
$28.86 |
+11.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.935 |
$280.50 |
$17.70 |
+6.7% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
No |
306 |
0.900 |
$275.56 |
$6.12 |
+2.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.905 |
$271.50 |
$26.40 |
+10.8% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
304 |
0.890 |
$270.71 |
$56.34 |
+26.3% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? |
No |
323 |
0.825 |
$266.74 |
$73.13 |
+37.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.855 |
$256.50 |
$91.50 |
+55.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.850 |
$254.84 |
$7.55 |
+3.1% |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? |
No |
302 |
0.830 |
$250.54 |
$-3.02 |
-1.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.835 |
$250.50 |
$-1.00 |
-0.4% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
300 |
0.820 |
$246.34 |
$34.55 |
+16.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
280 |
0.855 |
$239.39 |
$14.30 |
+6.4% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
304 |
0.735 |
$223.70 |
$12.35 |
+5.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
300 |
0.745 |
$223.50 |
$82.00 |
+58.0% |