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Trader leaderboard/1234ab

1234ab

0x5f8ec8b9c07547d93ac7206ef75c1b625e6021b7
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$5,044
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$376
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
28%
281W / 715L · 78 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
316W / 758L
Trades (30d)
1,074
across 12 markets · ~90 per market
EV / position
+$1,008.75
avg win $2,038 · loss $535
Profit Factor
5.72
$6,113 won / $1,069 lost
Reward / Risk
3.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $163,526 · all-time $6,310,475

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.3% 2,060W/3,055L 284 $508,172
⚽ Sports 75.3% 741W/243L 140 $80,441
💵 Economy 37.5% 3W/5L 16 $9,794
🏛 Politics 40.0% 2W/3L 9 $6,496
🎬 Culture 2 $61

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

54 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 6,597 0.865 $5,706.73 $157.20 +2.8%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 3,349 0.515 $1,724.73 $417.89 +32.0%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? Yes 2,787 0.510 $1,421.54 $446.01 +45.7%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 1,078 0.895 $964.81 $5.39 +0.6%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 6,597 0.135 $890.64 $-139.57 -13.5%
Plovdiv 2: Adrian Andreev vs Emilien Demanet Adrian Andreev 1,586 0.505 $800.93 $-7.93 -1.0%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? No 1,452 0.530 $769.63 $261.74 +51.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 514 0.985 $506.03 $12.81 +2.6%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 512 0.835 $427.52 $7.68 +1.8%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage Imperial 495 0.855 $423.23 $16.31 +4.0%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 360 0.952 $342.54 $7.87 +2.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 230 0.991 $227.81 $4.52 +2.0%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs Liquid 330 0.655 $216.15 $10.75 +5.2%
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group B Arcade Esports 681 0.240 $163.34 $-58.58 -26.4%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 136 0.925 $125.80 $0.68 +0.5%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 217 0.485 $105.25 $-14.11 -11.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 6,195 0.015 $89.83 $-55.35 -38.1%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? No 253 0.330 $83.49 $-0.42 -0.5%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Stefan Adrian Andreescu vs Julian Messina Stefan Adrian Andreescu 84 0.967 $81.23 $3.15 +4.0%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 855 0.095 $81.22 $-4.28 -5.0%
ITF Poprad: Peter Zavacky vs Alexey Aleshchev Alexey Aleshchev 69 0.966 $66.65 $34.91 +110.0%
ITF Poprad: Piet Luis Pinter vs Samir Hamza Reguig Samir Hamza Reguig 66 0.999 $65.90 $16.40 +33.1%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage BESTIA 67 0.905 $60.63 $5.21 +9.4%
Istanbul 2: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Florent Bax Florent Bax 91 0.630 $57.33 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No 50 0.933 $46.65 $0.05 +0.1%