| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
16 |
0.911 |
$14.53 |
$-0.45 |
-3.0% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
14 |
0.999 |
$13.87 |
$0.73 |
+5.5% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.835 |
$12.75 |
$2.75 |
+27.5% |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
No |
11 |
0.985 |
$10.56 |
$0.57 |
+5.7% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
280 |
0.035 |
$9.66 |
$-38.43 |
-79.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
Yes |
77 |
0.125 |
$9.63 |
$-9.63 |
-50.0% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.920 |
$9.40 |
$2.66 |
+39.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
25 |
0.355 |
$9.02 |
$-5.97 |
-39.8% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.999 |
$8.73 |
$0.09 |
+1.0% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
11 |
0.745 |
$8.20 |
$4.72 |
+135.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.485 |
$6.58 |
$0.61 |
+10.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
8 |
0.742 |
$6.12 |
$1.13 |
+22.6% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
Yes |
122 |
0.037 |
$4.56 |
$-7.60 |
-62.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
10 |
0.445 |
$4.28 |
$-0.72 |
-14.4% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
Yes |
46 |
0.082 |
$3.76 |
$-10.54 |
-73.7% |
| EU dissolves before 2027? |
Yes |
140 |
0.022 |
$3.08 |
$-1.40 |
-31.2% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
37 |
0.075 |
$2.76 |
$-7.16 |
-72.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.177 |
$2.39 |
$-9.11 |
-79.2% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
31 |
0.073 |
$2.28 |
$0.47 |
+26.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
18 |
0.117 |
$2.11 |
$-0.80 |
-27.5% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
7 |
0.185 |
$1.32 |
$-3.46 |
-72.4% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.114 |
$0.96 |
$-4.47 |
-82.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
21 |
0.045 |
$0.96 |
$-3.95 |
-80.4% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
25 |
0.035 |
$0.86 |
$-4.39 |
-83.6% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
23 |
0.029 |
$0.68 |
$-0.52 |
-43.3% |