PnL (30d)

−$34,013

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 1L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

73%

8W / 3L

Trades (30d)

11

across 6 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$34,013.00

· loss $34,013

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $34,013 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/1L	6	$9,241
🌤 Weather	—	2	$8
🔬 Science	—	2	$8

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?	No	691	0.965	$666.61	$48.28	+7.8%
OpenAI acquired before 2027?	No	469	0.960	$450.19	$21.59	+5.0%
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	197	0.275	$54.08	$-26.79	-33.1%
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	51	0.665	$33.58	$19.09	+131.6%
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	221	0.150	$33.22	$-39.05	-54.0%
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Yes	94	0.125	$11.80	$-9.04	-43.4%
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	205	0.043	$8.72	$-2.72	-23.8%
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	191	0.009	$1.72	$-0.44	-20.5%