| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
117 |
0.964 |
$112.82 |
$9.49 |
+9.2% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
107 |
0.935 |
$100.09 |
$0.08 |
+0.1% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
101 |
0.993 |
$100.06 |
$0.06 |
+0.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
98 |
0.790 |
$77.40 |
$28.44 |
+58.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
73 |
0.972 |
$70.49 |
$-0.24 |
-0.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
69 |
1.000 |
$69.25 |
$0.29 |
+0.4% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
67 |
0.915 |
$61.52 |
$-1.60 |
-2.5% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? |
Yes |
64 |
0.963 |
$61.14 |
$1.44 |
+2.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
58 |
0.885 |
$51.38 |
$0.59 |
+1.2% |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.945 |
$30.27 |
$-0.97 |
-3.1% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.915 |
$26.96 |
$0.65 |
+2.5% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.955 |
$23.72 |
$0.12 |
+0.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
98 |
0.209 |
$20.51 |
$-28.44 |
-58.1% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.973 |
$16.93 |
$-0.15 |
-0.9% |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.978 |
$16.67 |
$0.33 |
+2.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
23 |
0.615 |
$14.23 |
$2.24 |
+18.7% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
15 |
0.955 |
$14.22 |
$0.09 |
+0.6% |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.955 |
$14.17 |
$-0.08 |
-0.6% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
13 |
0.987 |
$12.45 |
$0.35 |
+2.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? |
No |
12 |
0.940 |
$11.36 |
$-0.06 |
-0.5% |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.936 |
$11.28 |
$0.40 |
+3.7% |
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.965 |
$9.90 |
$0.24 |
+2.5% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.942 |
$9.38 |
$-0.02 |
-0.3% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.895 |
$8.95 |
$0.01 |
+0.2% |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
9 |
0.950 |
$8.55 |
$0.36 |
+4.4% |