PnL (30d)

+$2,430

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2,665

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+19.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

89%

147W / 18L · 113 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

156W / 120L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

278

across 30 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

+$121.51

avg win $131 · loss $51

Profit Factor

48.58

$2,481 won / $51 lost

Reward / Risk

2.56

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	89.1% 147W/18L	30	$21,398
🏛 Politics	—	2	$548

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	11,607	0.031	$359.82	$-1,289.47	-78.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	1,000	0.155	$155.00	$-85.00	-35.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	500	0.215	$107.49	$-326.46	-75.2%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	895	0.115	$102.92	$-141.42	-57.9%