| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,600 |
0.835 |
$1,336.00 |
$-11.99 |
-0.9% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.942 |
$564.90 |
$-2.70 |
-0.5% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
600 |
0.665 |
$398.98 |
$-7.00 |
-1.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.935 |
$280.50 |
$1.50 |
+0.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
300 |
0.905 |
$271.50 |
$17.50 |
+6.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.520 |
$104.00 |
$-2.00 |
-1.9% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.505 |
$101.00 |
$-3.00 |
-2.9% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.880 |
$88.00 |
$-1.00 |
-1.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.625 |
$62.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.8% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
74 |
0.835 |
$61.73 |
$3.33 |
+5.7% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
930 |
0.024 |
$21.84 |
$15.84 |
+263.8% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
2,913 |
0.006 |
$18.93 |
$-55.53 |
-74.6% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.090 |
$9.00 |
$-18.00 |
-66.7% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.725 |
$3.62 |
$-0.02 |
-0.7% |