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Trader leaderboard/cubandave29

cubandave29

0x5ecf845b70ac1ea66adbe0f48629effc83a8af11
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$90
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$36
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
338W / 193L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
341W / 193L
Trades (30d)
534
across 90 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$1.03
avg win $14 · loss $61
Profit Factor
0.92
$1,002 won / $1,092 lost
Reward / Risk
0.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$97
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21,835 · all-time $1,364,652

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.5% 1,768W/1,420L 688 $65,124
🌤 Weather 80.1% 230W/57L 65 $7,633
⚽ Sports 17.1% 13W/63L 20 $1,407
🏛 Politics 100.0% 8W/0L 12 $399
💵 Economy 100.0% 11W/0L 9 $412
🤖 Tech 2 $43
₿ Crypto 100.0% 3W/0L 1 $40

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $2.95 +3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $0.45 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $0.65 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $2.95 +3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? No 100 0.998 $99.80 $28.80 +40.6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5? No 100 0.989 $98.85 $-0.65 -0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5? No 100 0.984 $98.40 $3.40 +3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? No 100 0.950 $95.00 $1.00 +1.1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? No 100 0.930 $93.00 $-2.00 -2.1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? No 100 0.915 $91.54 $-4.95 -5.1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? No 88 0.996 $87.29 $0.04 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? No 100 0.810 $81.00 $-1.00 -1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 5? No 81 1.000 $80.89 $4.01 +5.2%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 5? No 48 1.000 $48.35 $7.23 +17.6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? No 54 0.745 $40.47 $-0.79 -1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5? No 40 0.999 $39.94 $0.14 +0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 5? No 27 0.997 $26.92 $0.05 +0.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 5? No 20 0.987 $19.74 $0.14 +0.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 5? No 18 0.955 $17.27 $1.54 +9.8%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No 3 0.435 $1.24 $-0.50 -28.7%
Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 20 0.041 $0.82 $-2.38 -74.4%
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 10 0.073 $0.73 $-0.27 -27.0%
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 20 0.032 $0.63 $-2.77 -81.5%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes 2 0.315 $0.56 $-0.19 -25.0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 125 0.002 $0.19 $-0.81 -81.2%