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Trader

0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$294
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-39.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
16W / 29L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
17W / 32L
Trades (30d)
49
across 22 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$15.49
avg win $10 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.17
$61 won / $355 lost
Reward / Risk
0.37
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,980 · all-time $3,597,219

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 31.2% 1,095W/2,414L 984 $210,930
⚽ Sports 47.4% 99W/110L 135 $3,360
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/13L 17 $1,355
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/7L 7 $2,533
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/6L 5 $315
₿ Crypto 2 $11
🤖 Tech 1 $100

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

63 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 186 0.645 $120.11 $4.41 +3.8%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 167 0.615 $102.49 $2.50 +2.5%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 112 0.905 $101.68 $1.69 +1.7%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes 192 0.515 $99.03 $-0.96 -1.0%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 278 0.355 $98.60 $-1.39 -1.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 157 0.615 $96.63 $-2.36 -2.4%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 141 0.685 $96.47 $-3.52 -3.5%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 104 0.585 $60.69 $5.71 +10.4%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 67 0.823 $55.47 $0.02 +0.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 54 0.935 $50.80 $0.81 +1.6%
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes 98 0.505 $49.50 $-0.49 -1.0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 109 0.143 $15.68 $-0.38 -2.4%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 67 0.209 $13.95 $0.97 +7.5%
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 62 0.205 $12.67 $-0.31 -2.4%
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? Yes 55 0.211 $11.66 $9.67 +486.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 10 0.957 $9.98 $0.27 +2.8%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw? Yes 20 0.440 $8.79 $-1.20 -12.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 16 0.455 $7.34 $1.35 +22.6%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-11? Yes 12 0.495 $6.18 $-3.81 -38.1%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 7 0.855 $5.98 $1.43 +31.5%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 9 0.675 $5.91 $1.16 +24.4%
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 26 0.215 $5.54 $-0.44 -7.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes 200 0.028 $5.50 $-1.50 -21.4%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.962 $5.27 $0.28 +5.7%
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027? Yes 10 0.498 $4.99 $-4.82 -49.1%