| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.875 |
$12.95 |
$-0.05 |
-0.4% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.730 |
$4.68 |
$-0.32 |
-6.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.885 |
$4.07 |
$0.07 |
+1.7% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.865 |
$2.11 |
$0.11 |
+5.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.775 |
$1.94 |
$-0.06 |
-3.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.365 |
$1.55 |
$-0.45 |
-22.3% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.740 |
$1.40 |
$0.40 |
+39.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.165 |
$1.27 |
$0.27 |
+26.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.625 |
$1.12 |
$0.12 |
+11.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.925 |
$1.03 |
$0.03 |
+2.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
25 |
0.033 |
$0.81 |
$-0.19 |
-18.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
8 |
0.065 |
$0.50 |
$-0.50 |
-50.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.041 |
$0.14 |
$-0.86 |
-85.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.017 |
$0.12 |
$-0.88 |
-87.9% |