PnL (30d)

+$416

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$349

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+20.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

7W / 9L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

12W / 9L

Trades (30d)

21

across 3 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$208.23

avg win $496 · loss $80

Profit Factor

6.23

$496 won / $80 lost

Reward / Risk

6.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$80

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	16.0% 13W/68L	16	$26,241
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/9L	2	$3,170
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/9L	1	$2,394

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	12,198	0.125	$1,524.71	$-532.07	-25.9%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	33,060	0.019	$644.68	$-131.12	-16.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	40,002	0.016	$640.03	$-660.19	-50.8%